Tuesday, 27 January 2015

ASC 9 - Final and 3rd

And now the last two games are upon us...
Here is how the Semi-finals went.


Set 8 of the Asian Cup games are finished, and our tipping return was:

FIFA:   1 correct from 2, No exact margins.
ELO:    1 correct from 2, 1 exact margin.

ELO wins this by virtue of the exact margin, making the score in favour of ELO, and unbeatable now;

FIFA  2 - 4  ELO


Total Score:
FIFA:   18 correct from 30  (60%), 4 exact margins.
ELO:    19 correct from 30  (63%), 8 exact margin


So to the 3rd place game and Asian Cup Final... the tips are (after 90 mins).
Based on FIFA RankingsBased on EloRatings.net
DATEHOMEAWAYPREDGDHOMEAWAYPREDGD
30.1IRQvsUAEDRAWIRQvsUAEDRAW
31.1KORvsAUSDRAWKORvsAUSAUS2

ASC 8 - Semi Finals

(yeah, late to the party - holidays do that to you)

The wild Quarter Finals games are done.


Set 7 of the Asian Cup games are finished, and the tipping return was:

FIFA:   1 correct from 4, 1 exact margin.
ELO:    3 correct from 4, 2 exact margins.

A big win for the ELO system.

FIFA  2 - 3  ELO


Total Score:
FIFA:   17 correct from 28  (61%), 4 exact margin.
ELO:    18 correct from 28  (64%), 7 exact margin.


Now we enter the Semi finals, the tips are (after 90 mins)...
Based on FIFA RankingsBased on EloRatings.net
DATEHOMEAWAYPREDGDHOMEAWAYPREDGD
26.1KORvsIRQDRAWKORvsIRQDRAW
27.1AUSvsUAEAUS1AUSvsUAEAUS2

Wednesday, 21 January 2015

ASC 7 - Quarter Finals

Final Pool games done, and the results are below


Set 6 of the Asian Cup games are finished, and the tipping return was:

FIFA:   3 correct from 4, 2 exact margins.
ELO:    2 correct from 4, 1 exact margin.

A win for the FIFA system, tie-ing the scores;

FIFA  2 - 2  ELO


Total Score:
FIFA:   16 correct from 24  (67%), 3 exact margin.
ELO:    15 correct from 24  (63%), 4 exact margin.


Now we enter the Quarter finals, the tips are...
Based on FIFA RankingsBased on EloRatings.net
DATEHOMEAWAYPREDGDHOMEAWAYPREDGD
22.1KORvsUZBDRAWKORvsUZBDRAW
22.1CHNvsAUSDRAWCHNvsAUSAUS1
23.1IRNvsIRQIRN1IRNvsIRQDRAW
23.1JPNvsUAEJPN2JPNvsUAEJPN1

*after 90mins tips of course.


And now that all the pool games are complete, the assessment and ranking of each team by the FootyMaths calculations creates the below table.
RKTEAMFIFA PTSOUR ADJUSTSRKTEAMELO PTSOUR ADJUSTS
1IRN5801JPN+11JPN17121JPN-
2JPN5632IRN-12IRN16592AUS+1
3KOR4813KOR-3AUS16353IRN-1
4UZB4544IRQ+84UZB16354UAE+1
5UAE3935AUS+55UAE16345KOR+1
6JOR3936UZB-16KOR16196CHN+2
7OMN3477UAE-27QTR15777IRQ+6
8QTR3428CHN+18CHN15618UZB-4
9CHN3369JOR-39OMN15269PRK+1
10AUS32410KSA+110PRK152110JOR+2
11KSA32311BHR+311KUW151311QTR-4
12IRQ32012OMN-512JOR150912BHR+3
13PLE27113QTR-513IRQ149813OMN-4
14BHR24914KUW+114KSA148114KSA-
15KUW24615PRK+115BHR145515KUW-4
16PRK15616PLE-316PLE132216PLE-


Under both scenarios, all the Quarter Finalists are ranked in respective top 8's and there is general agreement on who has done very well (Iraq) and who has not played to potential (e.g. Oman and Qatar).