ASC 9 - Final and 3rd

And now the last two games are upon us...
Here is how the Semi-finals went.


Set 8 of the Asian Cup games are finished, and our tipping return was:

FIFA:   1 correct from 2, No exact margins.
ELO:    1 correct from 2, 1 exact margin.

ELO wins this by virtue of the exact margin, making the score in favour of ELO, and unbeatable now;

FIFA  2 - 4  ELO


Total Score:
FIFA:   18 correct from 30  (60%), 4 exact margins.
ELO:    19 correct from 30  (63%), 8 exact margin


So to the 3rd place game and Asian Cup Final... the tips are (after 90 mins).

	Based on FIFA Rankings						Based on EloRatings.net
DATE	HOME		AWAY	PRED	GD		HOME		AWAY	PRED	GD
30.1	IRQ	vs	UAE	DRAW			IRQ	vs	UAE	DRAW
31.1	KOR	vs	AUS	DRAW			KOR	vs	AUS	AUS	2

ASC 8 - Semi Finals

(yeah, late to the party - holidays do that to you)

The wild Quarter Finals games are done.


Set 7 of the Asian Cup games are finished, and the tipping return was:

FIFA:   1 correct from 4, 1 exact margin.
ELO:    3 correct from 4, 2 exact margins.

A big win for the ELO system.

FIFA  2 - 3  ELO


Total Score:
FIFA:   17 correct from 28  (61%), 4 exact margin.
ELO:    18 correct from 28  (64%), 7 exact margin.


Now we enter the Semi finals, the tips are (after 90 mins)...

	Based on FIFA Rankings						Based on EloRatings.net
DATE	HOME		AWAY	PRED	GD		HOME		AWAY	PRED	GD
26.1	KOR	vs	IRQ	DRAW			KOR	vs	IRQ	DRAW
27.1	AUS	vs	UAE	AUS	1		AUS	vs	UAE	AUS	2

ASC 7 - Quarter Finals

Final Pool games done, and the results are below


Set 6 of the Asian Cup games are finished, and the tipping return was:

FIFA:   3 correct from 4, 2 exact margins.
ELO:    2 correct from 4, 1 exact margin.

A win for the FIFA system, tie-ing the scores;

FIFA  2 - 2  ELO


Total Score:
FIFA:   16 correct from 24  (67%), 3 exact margin.
ELO:    15 correct from 24  (63%), 4 exact margin.


Now we enter the Quarter finals, the tips are...

	Based on FIFA Rankings						Based on EloRatings.net
DATE	HOME		AWAY	PRED	GD		HOME		AWAY	PRED	GD
22.1	KOR	vs	UZB	DRAW			KOR	vs	UZB	DRAW
22.1	CHN	vs	AUS	DRAW			CHN	vs	AUS	AUS	1
23.1	IRN	vs	IRQ	IRN	1		IRN	vs	IRQ	DRAW
23.1	JPN	vs	UAE	JPN	2		JPN	vs	UAE	JPN	1

*after 90mins tips of course.


And now that all the pool games are complete, the assessment and ranking of each team by the FootyMaths calculations creates the below table.

RK	TEAM	FIFA PTS	OUR ADJUSTS				RK	TEAM	ELO PTS	OUR ADJUSTS
1	IRN	580	1	JPN	+1		1	JPN	1712	1	JPN	-
2	JPN	563	2	IRN	-1		2	IRN	1659	2	AUS	+1
3	KOR	481	3	KOR	-		3	AUS	1635	3	IRN	-1
4	UZB	454	4	IRQ	+8		4	UZB	1635	4	UAE	+1
5	UAE	393	5	AUS	+5		5	UAE	1634	5	KOR	+1
6	JOR	393	6	UZB	-1		6	KOR	1619	6	CHN	+2
7	OMN	347	7	UAE	-2		7	QTR	1577	7	IRQ	+6
8	QTR	342	8	CHN	+1		8	CHN	1561	8	UZB	-4
9	CHN	336	9	JOR	-3		9	OMN	1526	9	PRK	+1
10	AUS	324	10	KSA	+1		10	PRK	1521	10	JOR	+2
11	KSA	323	11	BHR	+3		11	KUW	1513	11	QTR	-4
12	IRQ	320	12	OMN	-5		12	JOR	1509	12	BHR	+3
13	PLE	271	13	QTR	-5		13	IRQ	1498	13	OMN	-4
14	BHR	249	14	KUW	+1		14	KSA	1481	14	KSA	-
15	KUW	246	15	PRK	+1		15	BHR	1455	15	KUW	-4
16	PRK	156	16	PLE	-3		16	PLE	1322	16	PLE	-

Under both scenarios, all the Quarter Finalists are ranked in respective top 8's and there is general agreement on who has done very well (Iraq) and who has not played to potential (e.g. Oman and Qatar).