Thursday, 31 July 2014

19. Going For 'Home'

Nearly finals time in the AFL, and with the current top 8 as:
Sydney, Hawthorn, Geelong, Fremantle Port Adelaide, North Melbourne, Essendon, Adelaide
...can anyone see that shifting?

Looking at 9th and 10th, the GAJ'er-less Suns wont get back. And Collingwood...? Tough run in the last 5 weeks. Remote chance at best.


THE TIPS:
All the home teams get the tipping nod this week.

Worth noting the 'Melbourne by 8' tip includes a home ground advantage bonus. This was applied because they play an interstate team.
Without that bonus, its Brisbane by 5... why no bonus you ask? Well, it is at the Docklands. Not a preferred 'home' ground for Melbourne.

Your call on which way this one goes.


MEZZOCULO INDEX:
Collingwood are our bad form loss leader as the Saints improve. Adelaide challenge GWS at the top of form level.


The above suggests the following tips might be different than above...
- Carlton, GWS and the Dogs to get closer than the losses  predicted.
- Adelaide to win by more than 25.
- North and the Suns to win by more.

Also, two teams way down on form - Collingwood tipped by 5 over Port Adelaide, but the Mezzoculo suggests the Power might just pinch this game.

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