An overall 6 correct from 9 is both under the expected week-to-week level needed to achieve the season goals, and also a step up from the season average to date.
Also, the MAE (Mean Absolute Error of predicted margin to actual) was also not to the expected level to meet season end targets, and also worse that last week.
In simple terms, "good but not good enough" to correct the horror start to the tipping season.
The results speak for themselves:
Zero from the first three, followed by a wet sail run home getting the remaining six.
To the table and there are multiple changes from the above, making it the most dynamic week of 2015 to date.
|PREDICTED RESULT||ACTUAL RESULT||RATINGS ADJUSTMENTS|
|Sydney/SMFC||by||55||pts||W Bulldogs/FFC||by||4||pts||Sydney/SMFC||-22||W Bulldogs/FFC||+33|
|Gold Coast||by||11||pts||Gold Coast||by||64||pts||Gold Coast||+19||Brisbane Lions||-36|
|West Coast||by||43||pts||West Coast||by||87||pts||West Coast||+24||GWS||-17|
|Port Adelaide||by||8||pts||Port Adelaide||by||24||pts||Adelaide||-14||Port Adelaide||+8|
From a zero from three start, to coming home with a wet sail finish of six in a row. An interesting week on the tip.
Over in the Rankings Table, there were many changes this week.
West Coast are great at home, but will need to lift away from to be seriously considered a top 5 team.
There is not much between Geelong in 8th and Richmond in 10th, so week-on-week volatility in this part of the table is expected, unless one of those teams gathers some consistency (either positive or negative).
The Pies defeat over Carlton saw a 56 point swing in rankings and has both teams switching places.
The GWS went negative for the first time this season and slip to 15th. It has been a remarkable run from the Giants... up 134 points before Round 5.
At the other end of the scale, Brisbane have not gained a point all season (i.e. have not performed to expectation all year), and lost 113 points to date.