Monday, 29 June 2015

13. SANCTIONLESS SANCTIONS

Sam Mitchell just had to be dressed down by the big wigs at AFL HQ for his syringe-based sledging of Essendon.
Because if he didn't, its the opening of Pandora's can of worms, as players could go the sledge with a token apology post-match.

He is lucky not to have been fined. Reckon the next player is up for a fine though.

Can't have every man and his dog out there pointing out the odd home truth, needling Essendon players (pardon the pun).
Which, to date, is that the 'players didn't inject any banned substance'.

So, why the need to haul Mitchell over the coals?






Finally the results start to turn and a 4 from 6 weekend is not the outcome.
Five of the possible 6 is better, but not perfect, with Sydney letting Richmond run rampant upsetting the perfect outcome.

The margins were also quite closely tipped to, with Hawthorn doing just over expected, and a few other games out by 3 goals or so.
The season MAE is now under 31.5 after this week became the fourth week of five with sub 22 point MAE's. At least that indicator is headed toward target.
PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
Fremantleby35ptsFremantleby7ptsFremantle-15Collingwood+19
Sydney/SMFCby34ptsRichmondby18ptsSydney/SMFC-18Richmond+28
Hawthornby37ptsHawthornby38ptsHawthorn0Essendon-13
Adelaideby29ptsAdelaideby13ptsBrisbane Lions+4Adelaide-14
W Bulldogs/FFCby22ptsW Bulldogs/FFCby6ptsSt Kilda+12W Bulldogs/FFC-5
Carltonby15ptsCarltonby34ptsCarlton+6Gold Coast-11


Over in the standings, its been a good week to have  a bye.
West Coast and Melbourne go up the rankings based solely on the teams above them not playing well.
West Coast in particular benefiting well from Richmond defeating Sydney, becoming the second best team out there.
Which kind of matches *cough cough* this preseason tip about West Coast being better than most rated.

Of course, for their part, Richmond also gain a few rankings positions too, leaping to 7th.
The first time this year they are rated a top 8 team.
RANKINGSPre:R 14
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Hawthorn14531-
2West Coast13730+1
3Sydney/SMFC1360-18-1
4Fremantle1332-15-
5Port Adelaide12080-
6North Melbourne11930-
7Richmond118728+2
8Geelong11790-1
9Adelaide1161-14-1
10Collingwood114219-
11Essendon1079-13-
12W Bulldogs/FFC997-5-
13GWS9830-
14Carlton8827-
15Melbourne8390+1
16Gold Coast838-11-1
17St Kilda80113-
18Brisbane Lions7745-

Fremantle only have themselves to blame for dropping to third. They were expected to do better and didn't.
Or to put it another way, Collingwood continue to improve, but by these ratings are not yet ready to mix it in September.

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