Monday, 20 July 2015

16. SO CLOSE

Prior to the round, the blog mentioned how close some of these games were to be and that following these tips was not recommended.
As it turns out, the tips were all but perfect.

A score of 8 from the 9 games was achieved, and in margin terms, the results were all under 21 points, bar the Hawks blow-out.
And with another sub 30 MAE, its 6 of the last 8 weeks with (reasonably) accurate tipping. At least, under the target set.
PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
North Melbourneby18ptsNorth Melbourneby25ptsNorth Melbourne+5Essendon-21
Geelongby29ptsGeelongby8ptsGeelong-13W Bulldogs/FFC+10
GWSby2ptsGWSby15ptsGold Coast-5GWS+5
West Coastby10ptsWest Coastby31ptsCollingwood-8West Coast+16
Hawthornby1ptsHawthornby89ptsSydney/SMFC-33Hawthorn+30
Fremantleby53ptsFremantleby42ptsFremantle-20Carlton+3
Melbourneby18ptsMelbourneby24ptsMelbourne+10Brisbane Lions-3
Port Adelaideby6ptsAdelaideby3ptsPort Adelaide-13Adelaide+3
Richmondby36ptsRichmondby16ptsSt Kilda+20Richmond-6

Worth noting Fremantle win again, but in a struggle against the inferior Carlton. So thats
6 weeks in a row where they haven't met expectations. The mid-season Purple Malaise continues.

Also worth noting, Hawthorn have destroyed both viable contenders in the last two weeks. They meet 2nd placed West Coast and 5th placed Richmond in the next three weeks.
It will be interesting to see what those contenders can throw at the Hawks, who are now on 1494 points, their highest ranking for the season. Can they be stopped?

To the rankings table:
RANKINGSPre:R 17
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Hawthorn149430-
2West Coast141316-
3Sydney/SMFC1302-33-
4Fremantle1265-20-
5North Melbourne11925+2
6Port Adelaide1188-12-1
7Richmond1184-6-1
8Collingwood1170-8-
9Geelong1151-13-
10Adelaide11473-
11W Bulldogs/FFC101310+1
12GWS9996+1
13Essendon994-21-2
14Carlton8853-
15Melbourne86110+1
16St Kilda85720+1
17Gold Coast854-5-2
18Brisbane Lions790-2-

Essendon and Gold Coast both slip two spots, the Dons to 13th and under 1000 points, and the Suns to second last.

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