Monday, 17 August 2015

20. BURGER

As per the preamble post to Round 20;
"Otherwise its another week of expected results being reasonably predictable.
The form data also doesn't show much likelyhood of upsets either."
So if you didn't collect 9 this week, then it should have been an 8. Anything else is poor tipping.

So no bragging here - it was an easy week.
PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
Sydney/SMFCby27ptsSydney/SMFCby11ptsSydney/SMFC-18Collingwood+4
Adelaideby11ptsAdelaideby112ptsEssendon-44Adelaide+25
North Melbourneby36ptsNorth Melbourneby37ptsNorth Melbourne+9St Kilda-1
Port Adelaideby29ptsPort Adelaideby21ptsPort Adelaide-13GWS+7
Hawthornby36ptsHawthornby36ptsGeelong-1Hawthorn+9
Brisbane Lionsby4ptsBrisbane Lionsby64ptsBrisbane Lions+19Carlton-29
Richmondby44ptsRichmondby83ptsRichmond+15Gold Coast-15
W Bulldogs/FFCby23ptsW Bulldogs/FFCby98ptsW Bulldogs/FFC+47Melbourne-23
West Coastby16ptsWest Coastby24ptsFremantle-9West Coast+3

On second thoughts... a short brag.
Three games tipped close to the actual margin (16pts, 8 pts and 1 pt), plus an exact on Hawthorn over Geelong by 36 pts.
Donations and congratulations welcome, form an orderly queue to the right.

And also worth noting is this week registered four more 60+ point margins... 2015 will be a record, almost certain.

Over to the table, we have the above big margins impacting the table with big shifts.
RANKINGSPre:R 21
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Hawthorn15389-
2West Coast14173-
3Fremantle1249-8+1
4Sydney/SMFC1245-17-1
5North Melbourne124110-
6Richmond120516-
7Adelaide117026+2
8Geelong11690-
9Port Adelaide116420-2
10W Bulldogs/FFC115347+1
11Collingwood11245-1
12GWS10167-
13Essendon873-43-
14St Kilda8720+2
15Gold Coast860-14-
16Melbourne856-17-2
17Carlton816-28-
18Brisbane Lions77820-

Fremantle lose but move up may seem odd, but the Swans just didn't hit Collingwood hard enough. Therefore they are penalised and slip a spot.

Big moves by Adelaide and Western Bulldogs on the back of big wins. The Dogs go +47 to be within touching distance of the best 8.
The counter point to the Adelaide's big win is that Essendon are now clearly adrift, with the Saints, Suns, Dees etc. Essendon are now closer to the lowest ranked Lions (95 pts) than their nearest rival above them (GWS 143 pts).

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