Thursday, 31 March 2016

2. TWO ON THE EDGE

The good thing about letting systems do the thinking for you is that you remove the emotion and subjectivity from process. It's a colder approach... pure numbers.

And then the calculations pop up something that makes you think... Well...
HOMEAWAYVENUEPREDICTED RESULT
RND 2
Collingwood-23v17RichmondMCGRichmondby17pts
Adelaide13v20Port AdelaideAdelAdelaideby1pts
Essendon-27v-16MelbourneMCGEssendonby2pts
Brisbane Lions19v6North MelbourneGabbNorth Melbourneby34pts
St Kilda-10v10W Bulldogs/FFCDockW Bulldogs/FFCby33pts
Fremantle-33v-7Gold CoastSubiFremantleby45pts
GWS-7v7GeelongManuGeelongby18pts
Hawthorn-3v-2West CoastMCGHawthornby20pts
Carlton-15v19Sydney/SMFCDockSydney/SMFCby36pts
It may be that the FMI blog stands alone in tipping Essendon, and doubling up that jeopardy with a 1 point tip to Adelaide. No one from The Age went for Essendon, either.
And the form indicator also suggests Essendon are under Melbourne on present form. 

Further, the Power are on a better form line that Adelaide.


So in full "let's retreat from the calculated numbers" mode then it's very easy to declare those two tips rubbery.

Use them at your peril.

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