Wednesday, 6 April 2016

2. SYSTEM WIN

As per the last post, the system is as the system does. There has been no adjustments to the Essendon rating as it will adjust itself as the season progresses.

And this is how the tips predicted correctly Essendon, and even though the previously expressed doubts on that expectation, Melbourne's self-doubts / casual approach (choose your favourite) saw the tip correct.
PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
Richmondby17ptsCollingwoodby1ptsCollingwood+7Richmond-8
Adelaideby1ptsAdelaideby58ptsAdelaide+23Port Adelaide-22
Essendonby2ptsEssendonby13ptsEssendon+4Melbourne-5
North Melbourneby34ptsNorth Melbourneby34ptsBrisbane Lions-1North Melbourne+3
W Bulldogs/FFCby33ptsW Bulldogs/FFCby57ptsSt Kilda-15W Bulldogs/FFC+23
Fremantleby45ptsGold Coastby26ptsFremantle-41Gold Coast+32
Geelongby18ptsGWSby13ptsGWS+13Geelong-13
Hawthornby20ptsHawthornby46ptsHawthorn+10West Coast-17
Sydney/SMFCby36ptsSydney/SMFCby60ptsCarlton-12Sydney/SMFC+17


Six from nine one of the better yields of the week it seems.
And getting the exact tip for North Melbourne was a neat little bonus too. First for the year in the book already.


And an early question for the year.. Where is Fremantle?
Prior to the season the FMI rankings listed then at eighth, and the season prediction had them finishing (more than likely) between 5th and 10th.
The first two rounds suggest this might be correct, but the coming weeks will be the reckoning of this thinking.


RANKINGSPre:R 3
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Hawthorn149811
2West Coast1395-17
3Sydney/SMFC132017
4North Melbourne12563
5Adelaide124923+1
6Richmond1239-7-1
7W Bulldogs/FFC120823+2
8Port Adelaide1197-22-1
9Geelong1168-12+1
10Fremantle1145-41-2
11Collingwood10867
12GWS101713
13Gold Coast89333+1
14Essendon8715-1
15Melbourne846-5+1
16St Kilda843-14-1
17Carlton819-11
18Brisbane Lions7930

Fremantle have slipped to 10th after two rounds with the Bulldogs the key beneficiary, as they move to 7th.
Also moving up are Adelaide, who this week take on Richmond, who slipped under the Crows.

1 comment:

  1. Used this for the first time in my family tipping. One the round, loving this :)

    ReplyDelete