Tuesday, 19 April 2016

4. CLOSER TO THE EDGE

St Kilda almost caused the upset of the year, falling just short.
The GWS win is not so surprising, but the eventual margin was though. Impressive stuff from the Giants!

And the FMI form indicator gave Melbourne the nod as likely to defeat Collingwood. If only it was the tip!

PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
West Coastby30ptsWest Coastby68ptsWest Coast+14Richmond-26
Geelongby33ptsGeelongby30ptsEssendon0Geelong-1
Hawthornby75ptsHawthornby3ptsHawthorn-22St Kilda+24
Gold Coastby3ptsBrisbane Lionsby13ptsBrisbane Lions+6Gold Coast-6
W Bulldogs/FFCby44ptsW Bulldogs/FFCby36ptsCarlton+2W Bulldogs/FFC-3
Adelaideby8ptsAdelaideby10ptsAdelaide+16Sydney/SMFC-1
Port Adelaideby19ptsGWSby86ptsGWS+33Port Adelaide-28
Collingwoodby20ptsMelbourneby35ptsCollingwood-37Melbourne+25
North Melbourneby25ptsNorth Melbourneby31ptsNorth Melbourne+2Fremantle-23

Six from nine is reasonable tipping and keeps the FMI tally at just on 75%, which remains the best start for a few years now.

The Monash score was a healthy 82, boosted by 3 tips within 6pts of the actual margin, and one each between 7-12pts and 13-18pts. Accuracy matters.


RANKINGSPre:R 5
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Hawthorn1467-22
2West Coast141315
3Sydney/SMFC1317-1
4Adelaide129217
5North Melbourne12472
6W Bulldogs/FFC1230-2
7Richmond1196-25
8Geelong1177-1+1
9Port Adelaide1176-27-1
10Fremantle1095-23
11GWS105633+1
12Collingwood1021-37-1
13Gold Coast919-6
14St Kilda88825
15Melbourne88526
16Essendon8571
17Carlton8012
18Brisbane Lions7916
Only two changes to the table this week, with Geelong and Port Adelaide swapping, and so too GWS and Collingwood.

There is a continuation of the decline of Fremantle and Richmond, as you would expect.

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