Thursday, 21 April 2016

5. WITH CAUTION

As per last week, the tips this week again highlight the longer view taken by the FMI system, over the shorter term form of the current year.

HOMEAWAYVENUEPREDICTED RESULT
RND 5
Hawthorn-13v27AdelaideMCGHawthornby30pts
Sydney/SMFC10v-11West CoastSCGSydney/SMFCby3pts
Gold Coast37v0North MelbourneCarrNorth Melbourneby21pts
W Bulldogs/FFC33v13Brisbane LionsDockW Bulldogs/FFCby56pts
Port Adelaide-11v18GeelongAdelPort Adelaideby12pts
St Kilda11v17GWSDockGWSby5pts
Fremantle-68v-6CarltonSubiFremantleby42pts
Melbourne24v-35RichmondMCGRichmondby32pts
Collingwood-50v-13EssendonMCGCollingwoodby17pts

Of the list above, Adelaide, the Suns, Geelong, Melbourne and Essendon all have better short term form lines than their opponents, who have all been tipped by the longer term form line.

It remains to be seen if the current run of form of
   - the Crows can overcome the 30 points expected margin.
   - the Suns can get past North and it's 21 point tip.
   - the Tigers bad run and the Dees good run can turn around a 32 point expected margin.

Port Adelaide are all but tipped to win purely on HGA.

And what can anyone say about Collingwood and Essendon. Do either side have it in them to win that one?
Toss a coin, or go for the Pies because "something something doing it for Bucks".

Maybe.


And add in the very close Swans-Eagles  and Saints Giants margin and there is a real chance of tipping 2 this weekend.

So please, tip with caution, and remember - no wagering.

No comments:

Post a Comment