Monday, 30 May 2016

10. BLUE CATS BUT SIX

Just when you think the weekend is all sunshine lollypops and rainbows, the hot tip of the pundits early season go and lose another against a team no one expects to make the finals.

But there is no complaining as this round brought 8 wins, but more importantly six of the margins tipped were within a goal of the actual result.

Six. All differences to margin were -  three fours, two threes and a two, with the rogue Cats margin of by 64, and the Saints and Port Adelaide off by 24 and 32 respectively.

A ridiculous MAE of 15.8.
PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
Sydney/SMFCby22ptsSydney/SMFCby26ptsSydney/SMFC+9North Melbourne-2
Hawthornby51ptsHawthornby48ptsBrisbane Lions0Hawthorn-15
Port Adelaideby21ptsPort Adelaideby45ptsMelbourne-9Port Adelaide+8
St Kildaby2ptsSt Kildaby34ptsSt Kilda+19Fremantle-27
Richmondby34ptsRichmondby38ptsEssendon-14Richmond+1
Adelaideby18ptsAdelaideby22ptsAdelaide+6GWS-2
Geelongby45ptsCarltonby19ptsCarlton+24Geelong-20
W Bulldogs/FFCby19ptsW Bulldogs/FFCby21ptsCollingwood-1W Bulldogs/FFC+1
West Coastby74ptsWest Coastby77ptsWest Coast+1Gold Coast-25

A final note - tips were not entered in time for the Sydney / North Melbourne game over at the Monash Uni comp site, so the Monash score down the righthand sidebar (in desktop view) are current FMI scores inclusive of the missed tip.


To the table and the seasons first "No Change" notice. West Coast again lead, increasing their margin as well... and all of it due to the collapse in Hawthorn's performance. Down a total of 147 points or 10% from their starting point this season.
RANKINGSPre:R 11
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1West Coast14011
2Hawthorn1363-15
3Sydney/SMFC135610
4Adelaide13136
5Geelong1279-20
6GWS1253-2
7North Melbourne1249-2
8W Bulldogs/FFC12321
9Port Adelaide11729
10Richmond11112
11Collingwood1047-1
12Fremantle991-27
13Melbourne950-9
14St Kilda92819
15Carlton87924
16Gold Coast763-25
17Essendon762-13
18Brisbane Lions7571

Again, at the base of the table, there are three adrift and Fremantle continue hurtling towards them. Dockers are also down heavily as you would expect. They have dropped over 220 points, a shade under 20%.

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