|PREDICTED RESULT||ACTUAL RESULT||RATINGS ADJUSTMENTS|
|West Coast||by||5||pts||Geelong||by||44||pts||Geelong||+39||West Coast||-19|
|Gold Coast||by||11||pts||Melbourne||by||73||pts||Gold Coast||-32||Melbourne||+30|
|W Bulldogs/FFC||by||4||pts||W Bulldogs/FFC||by||15||pts||W Bulldogs/FFC||+7||Adelaide||-5|
|North Melbourne||by||37||pts||North Melbourne||by||7||pts||St Kilda||+19||North Melbourne||-9|
|Port Adelaide||by||47||pts||Port Adelaide||by||77||pts||Port Adelaide||+10||Brisbane Lions||-12|
So that's 5 from 9 for the lowest haul this year. The MAE was better at 34.1, but still above target (which in this case is a bad thing).
All indicies are now outside the targets set for the first time this season.
Looking at the four missed tips above and the differential in 'form indicator':
Collingwood tipped - Carlton were +26pts better on form.Which all means more time needs to be invested in looking at a 'recent form' addition factor to the tips, over and above the adjustments made week-on-week.
West Coast tipped - Geelong were +33pts better on form (yes Josh, you were right ...in this instance).
Gold Coast tipped - Melbourne were +13pts better on form.
Fremantle tipped - GWS were +128pts better on form.
The current table:
The best ranked eight above actually align (not perfectly) with the current AFL top eight.
Not that there is any judgement on the 'top 8 being locked in' just yet. Still much water to pass under the bridge on that.
And as Troy Wheatley suggests under his system, some teams are appearing as highly ranked, but in essence are mid-strength, suggesting this season could go anywhere.