Tuesday, 7 June 2016

11. SHORT, WIDE

Last week the tip return was 8 from 9, with six of the margins very close to predicted. This week its another 8 from 9 (Bulldogs!!! *shakes fist*) but wider on the margins.

Nonetheless, all tracking indicators are back in control again...
 - ahead on tip correct %,
 - close and improving on MAE, and
 - a shade over target on Monash score.

PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
North Melbourneby14ptsNorth Melbourneby70ptsNorth Melbourne+18Richmond-21
Hawthornby42ptsHawthornby18ptsHawthorn-18Melbourne+14
Carltonby25ptsCarltonby38ptsCarlton+17Brisbane Lions-15
Geelongby15ptsGeelongby10ptsGeelong-4GWS+18
Sydney/SMFCby48ptsSydney/SMFCby38ptsGold Coast+2Sydney/SMFC-3
Fremantleby35ptsFremantleby79ptsFremantle+15Essendon-26
Port Adelaideby1ptsPort Adelaideby67ptsCollingwood-21Port Adelaide+23
West Coastby5ptsW Bulldogs/FFCby8ptsW Bulldogs/FFC+5West Coast-5
Adelaideby51ptsAdelaideby88ptsAdelaide+17St Kilda-14


In terms of rankings changes, there are only two, with the previously impervious Hawthorn now slipping to 3rd. Sydney are doing not much other than what is expected and that status quo-ing holds them at +1350 while the Hawks slip down further still/

RANKINGSPre:R 12
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1West Coast1397-5
2Sydney/SMFC1353-3+1
3Hawthorn1345-18-1
4Adelaide133017
5Geelong1275-4
6GWS127219
7North Melbourne126718
8W Bulldogs/FFC12385
9Port Adelaide119523
10Richmond1090-21
11Collingwood1026-21
12Fremantle100715
13Melbourne96414
14St Kilda914-14
15Carlton89718
16Gold Coast7663
17Brisbane Lions743-15+1
18Essendon736-26-1


The other change is the swapping of Brisbane and Essendon in last place on the back of the Dockers having a field day and beating up on the Dons to the tune of 79 points and their second biggest loss this year.


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