Friday, 29 July 2016

19. ROLL ON SEPTEMBER

Week 19 of the season that will drag on to its inevitable conclusion of the same top 8 teams since Round 7 in the finals positions.

And so it goes.
HOMEAWAYVENUEPREDICTED RESULT
RND 19
Geelong1v-12W Bulldogs/FFCKardGeelongby19pts
GWS4v-29RichmondManuGWSby42pts
Hawthorn6v7CarltonYorkHawthornby60pts
Collingwood20v-20West CoastMCGWest Coastby18pts
Brisbane Lions-7v1Port AdelaideGabbPort Adelaideby38pts
North Melbourne-9v21St KildaDockNorth Melbourneby28pts
Melbourne11v33Gold CoastMCGMelbourneby30pts
Fremantle-14v-5Sydney/SMFCSubiSydney/SMFCby21pts
Adelaide10v-9EssendonAdelAdelaideby82pts

No games tipped to be under 3 goals. Fingers crossed for nine.

And that Adelaide tip... that's the biggest margin predicted all season.


Most likely upsets...?
Collingwood over the Eagles, and St Kilda over North Melbourne. And for the really adventurous - Gold Coast over Melbourne.


Speaking of Collingwood - here are a few charts, tracking their decline since finishing top after the home and away season 2011.


Ladder Position by Season.

Win Percentages by Season

FMI Rankings Points at Season End

All the above have 2016 as current to end round 18, and 2017 as projection to end of season 2016.
Projections on ladder position and win percentage taken from accumulated data from this blog, and via Matter of Stats, Footy Forecaster and the Max Barry Squiggle.

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