Tuesday, 9 August 2016

20. TREADING WATER

Only 6 from the available 9, but the tipping index is still above the season target, and the Monash Score is also slenderly above its target as well. The MAE is just under where it should be.

And with three weeks plus finals to go, it will be a close run thing to achieve target.

As to the Olympics - Enjoy your plucky Aussies treading water, running out in the heats and being bundled out in the semi's of your favourite event.

PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
Collingwoodby8ptsRichmondby15ptsRichmond+8Collingwood-9
Sydney/SMFCby26ptsSydney/SMFCby67ptsSydney/SMFC+20Port Adelaide-16
Hawthornby36ptsMelbourneby29ptsMelbourne+21Hawthorn-20
GWSby36ptsGWSby8ptsGold Coast+20GWS-9
North Melbourneby3ptsW Bulldogs/FFCby14ptsW Bulldogs/FFC+5North Melbourne-10
Adelaideby82ptsAdelaideby138ptsAdelaide+18Brisbane Lions-30
St Kildaby7ptsSt Kildaby81ptsCarlton-23St Kilda+32
Geelongby62ptsGeelongby66ptsGeelong+3Essendon-10
West Coastby35ptsWest Coastby46ptsFremantle-21West Coast+4

Four blowouts this week... this moves the season total up to 42 blowouts (60pts or more) this year and on track to defeat the 2015 record set of 48. Only need 7 more in the 36 games remaining needed.


So where do we really rate Hawthorn out there if footy consumer world?
The loss against Melbourne could cost them dearly, and games against North, West Coast (at Subi) and Collingwood on the return from WA will stretch them and could eat away at the now single game lead.

RANKINGSPre:R 21
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Adelaide139719
2Sydney/SMFC136721+1
3Hawthorn1342-20-1
4GWS1328-8
5West Coast13194
6Geelong12943
7North Melbourne1226-9
8W Bulldogs/FFC12186+1
9Port Adelaide1199-15-1
10Collingwood1052-8
11Melbourne102722
12St Kilda101633+1
13Richmond9948-1
14Fremantle948-21
15Carlton898-22
16Gold Coast88021
17Essendon666-12
18Brisbane Lions649-27

Richmond score a handy 'against expectation' win and drop a spot. Typically Richmond you say, but bah, its all because of St Kilda doing so well against Carlton.
The Saints are still in the hunt for the top 8 of the AFL ladder, as too are Port Adelaide. Port's loss this week makes that scenario very precarious though.

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