Tuesday, 16 August 2016

21. UPSETS AND COINCIDENCES

A weekend of upsets with Brisbane and Essendon the key seismic shifts this weekend, And of course after one got up, it was odds on that the other would too, knowing last/first place was still secure.
All eyes on you, Carlton, in two weeks time.

Then of course Melbourne win and seemingly now have the barest chance of finishing 8th. The third team in recent weeks to get that gong after Port Adelaide and St Kilda.

PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
W Bulldogs/FFCby17ptsW Bulldogs/FFCby3ptsW Bulldogs/FFC-6Collingwood+6
Carltonby13ptsBrisbane Lionsby4ptsBrisbane Lions+6Carlton-9
Hawthornby12ptsHawthornby39ptsHawthorn+9North Melbourne-16
GWSby13ptsWest Coastby1ptsGWS-6West Coast+4
Sydney/SMFCby24ptsSydney/SMFCby70ptsSt Kilda-18Sydney/SMFC+28
Port Adelaideby30ptsMelbourneby40ptsPort Adelaide-21Melbourne+32
Gold Coastby10ptsEssendonby6ptsEssendon+5Gold Coast-6
Geelongby31ptsGeelongby4ptsRichmond+7Geelong-8
Adelaideby33ptsAdelaideby72ptsFremantle-29Adelaide+23


Also another 2 more blow-outs into the bin this week. 5 more needed from 27 games to set a new record for lop-sided-ness. (See bottom of post for blow-out list)
Must be worrying for the bigwigs at HQ.


To the tables with the changes ringing out.
Adelaide break 1400 and are the first team to do so since West Coast in Round 10. And their 1420 is the highest score since Hawthorn's 1448 in round 5.

RANKINGSPre:R 22
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Adelaide142023
2Sydney/SMFC139628
3Hawthorn135210
4West Coast13245+1
5GWS1323-5-1
6Geelong1287-8
7W Bulldogs/FFC1212-6+1
8North Melbourne1210-15-1
9Port Adelaide1178-21
10Melbourne106032+1
11Collingwood10597-1
12Richmond10028+1
13St Kilda999-17-1
14Fremantle920-29
15Carlton890-8
16Gold Coast874-6
17Essendon6725
18Brisbane Lions6556

West Coast's last gasp 1 point win sees them leap opponents GWS and move to 4th, and it also is by a 1 point margin in a certain sense of cruel irony.

Also moving ahead are the Bulldogs at the expense of North Melbourne, the Demons over Collingwood and the Tigers over St Kilda... who meet next week.



2016 BLOW OUT BIN
RNDHOMEGBPAWAYGBPMARGIN
MARGINS OVER140pts02015 mark0of benchmark
MARGINS OVER120pts12015 mark1100%of benchmarkKPImet!
20Adelaide2715177Brisbane Lions6339Adelaideby138
MARGINS OVER100pts42015 mark4100%of benchmarkKPImet!
6Geelong2518168Gold Coast7648Geelongby120
12Essendon6743Hawthorn2313151Hawthornby108
8West Coast2012132St Kilda31129West Coastby103
MARGINS OVER80pts142015 mark1782%of benchmark
19Brisbane Lions111379Port Adelaide2523173Port Adelaideby94
8GWS2217149Gold Coast9458GWSby91
19Fremantle7547Sydney/SMFC2111137Sydney/SMFCby90
11Adelaide1919133St Kilda6945Adelaideby88
19GWS179111Richmond3523GWSby88
4GWS2219151Port Adelaide91165GWSby86
12Brisbane Lions91064Fremantle239147Fremantleby83
19Adelaide2211143Essendon9761Adelaideby82
7Sydney/SMFC2015135Essendon71254Sydney/SMFCby81
20Carlton7951St Kilda1918132St Kildaby81
MARGINS OVER60pts442015 mark4892%of benchmark
1Sydney/SMFC1825133Collingwood71153Sydney/SMFCby80
11Fremantle206126Essendon61147Fremantleby79
17Brisbane Lions91367GWS2214146GWSby79
8Brisbane Lions10565Collingwood2023143Collingwoodby78
15West Coast2010130Essendon71052West Coastby78
7Port Adelaide2110136Brisbane Lions71759Port Adelaideby77
10West Coast2012132Gold Coast71355West Coastby77
6GWS2414158Hawthorn121183GWSby75
9Gold Coast11874Adelaide2217149Adelaideby75
7Gold Coast14387Melbourne2416160Melbourneby73
21Fremantle11470Adelaide2116142Adelaideby72
11North Melbourne1816124Richmond71254North Melbourneby70
18Hawthorn1618114Richmond51444Hawthornby70
21St Kilda111076Sydney/SMFC238146Sydney/SMFCby70
3Geelong1817125Brisbane Lions71456Geelongby69
5Collingwood2210142Essendon11773Collingwoodby69
4West Coast1817125Richmond9357West Coastby68
9North Melbourne1711113Carlton61046North Melbourneby67
11Collingwood71658Port Adelaide1911125Port Adelaideby67
20Sydney/SMFC1416100Port Adelaide4933Sydney/SMFCby67
20Geelong1510100Essendon41034Geelongby66
1W Bulldogs/FFC1513103Fremantle5838W Bulldogs/FFCby65
1West Coast2610166Brisbane Lions1512102West Coastby64
6West Coast1816124Collingwood9862West Coastby62
14GWS1819127Carlton91165GWSby62
1Gold Coast1719121Essendon9660Gold Coastby61
3Port Adelaide1710112Essendon7951Port Adelaideby61
2Carlton101171Sydney/SMFC2011131Sydney/SMFCby60
9Melbourne1914128Brisbane Lions91468Melbourneby60
16Carlton7547Adelaide1611107Adelaideby60

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