Wednesday, 29 March 2017

NWL: 2017 FINALE

So we have reached the end of the 2017 AFL Women's season and our best ranked team heading into the final won the premiership.
Congratulation to the Adelaide Crows.

PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
Brisbane Lionsby4ptsAdelaideby6ptsBrisbane Lions-4Adelaide+10

While the above tip was for Brisbane, the HGA was the factor that tipped the Lions to favouritism. The HGA used in this first short season was a fairly arbitrary one. Also a good deal of teams had not played competitively on those venues, as well as playing 'home' games at different venues dilutes the HGA value.

Removing a HGA on the above tip would have Adelaide getting the nod.
And while a case could be mounted for that as the game was played in Carrara, this system will award a HGA due to the travel required of the interstate team.

So the final rankings are:

RANKINGS
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Adelaide107110-
2Brisbane Lions1049-4-
3Melbourne10390-
4Carlton10250-
5W Bulldogs/FFC9870-
6Collingwood9790-
7Fremantle9370-
8GWS9080-


The best ranked team won, and extended their lead at the top of the table.
Further tonight, the best player in the competition also plays for the top team


And for the previously undefeated Lions, your fans are still feeling the loss.
Which is great because it means your games have real meaning.

Congratulations on a great first season of Women's football.
The world has changed on your deeds.
Dreams have been played out, while the seed of others has also been planted.


The challenge for the fans now is to back up again next year, become members, and also support your local state leagues this winter.

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