Wednesday, 15 March 2017

NWL: 7- LAST EXIT TO BRISBANE

As posited in past blogs, the two outsiders to pinch a spot in the final was Carlton and Melbourne had to win last round to keep open the slim chance.
One did win to maintain that glimmer, and one lost.

The door closing on Carlton is one story fromthe weekend, but so too is the thread of their victors, Fremantle.
Finally winning one after a draw, to give every team in the League a taste of victory. A most excellent first season of the AFLW, with still one round to come

And for what its worth, the FMI NWL Swarms suggest there is a 22% chance of Adelaide losing to Collingwood AND Melbourne defeating Fremantle for the Dees to displace Adelaide in Brisbane the next week.

What a way to wind up the season.
Delish!


Week 6 Wash-up 

Apart from Fremantle ending the Carlton run, and Melbourne's candle still alight, though just pulled from being snuffed by their competitiors for second, there is still one more story.


PREDICTED RESULTACTUAL RESULTRATINGS ADJUSTMENTS
Carltonby9ptsFremantleby16ptsFremantle+10Carlton-11
Brisbane Lionsby7ptsBrisbane Lionsby7ptsBrisbane Lions+8W Bulldogs/FFC-6
Adelaideby6ptsMelbourneby2ptsAdelaide-4Melbourne+4
Collingwoodby2ptsCollingwoodby36ptsCollingwood+14GWS-21


Its great to see the spirit down at Collingwood as they repair the wreckage of their early season back into some semblance of normality.
Even better is that they will do as the Pies always do best.
Pyrrhic victories.


Current rankings after 6 games:

RANKINGSPre:R 7
TEAMPTSΔPTSΔRK
1Adelaide1065-3-
2Brisbane Lions10555-
3Carlton1021-13-
4Melbourne10176-
5Collingwood9836-
6W Bulldogs/FFC974-1-
7Fremantle9596+1
8GWS932-14-1

The rankings seem to have settled themselves into a decent pattern. 

Tips for Week 7:

With the last round upon us, and one spot up for grabs in the final... drum roll please!

HOMEAWAYVENUEPREDICTED RESULT
RND 7
Melbourne6v-26FremantleCaseMelbourneby6pts
GWS-24v-10W Bulldogs/FFCManuW Bulldogs/FFCby5pts
Collingwood-16v34AdelaideOlymAdelaideby9pts
Carlton15v23Brisbane LionsPrinBrisbane Lionsby4pts
Expectation is for Melbourne to hold open the door for themselves on Saturday afternoon, and for Adelaide to pull harder and slam it shut 24hrs later.
Unless Collingwood, at the postage stamp....

Also, GWS and the Bulldogs basically fight for last in Canberra. The Dogs get the tip there.


The final tip for the round...
GO TO THE GAMES, people of Melbourne and Canberra.

Its you last chance to see the elite female players.
Your last chance to experience the very different feel of the AFLW game.
Your last chance to see the delighted faces of the next generation of player as they watch their heroes and inspirations.
Your last chance to experience the amazingly minimal testosterone levels with the crowd who are there more for the footy than proving how big a bloke they are.

Except for one last game the following week.

Go.
This week too.

Go.
Enjoy.

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