As before, they show each team and a confidence level when matched to upcoming opponents. The below are FMI rankings based with influences from ground, location and form.
In an attempt to make these understandable, bar charts were used, with coloured segments representing the strength of conviction. The darker the green, the more the expectation of a win. The darker the grey, the expectation is stronger for a loss.
Those most lightest shades are where the judgement is unclear but leaning to one side over the other.
Also under each team chart is the current need for each club to make the 8 at a minimum (assuming 12 wins is needed), as well as a short assessment of how attainable the finals are. Again, these assume teams will play to within an expectation level. It does not exclude an upset here or there, which shifts the outcomes, often dramatically.
The Wash-UpMarginal improvement in tipping, and add in the bonus of the draw for 1 more. Still, below standard.
|HOME AWAY||VENUE||PREDICTION||RESULT||RANKING PT CHANGES|
|Adelaide||v||W Bulldogs/FFC||Adel||Adel||by||31||pts||74||Adel||by||59||pts||☑||Adel||10||W Bu||-23|
|St Kilda||v||Richmond||Dock||Rich||by||5||pts||46||St K||by||67||pts||☒||St K||24||Rich||-22|
|West Coast||v||Port Adelaide||Subi||West||by||7||pts||55||Port||by||32||pts||☒||West||-19||Port||14|
And after a few weeks of close games, we double up the draws for 2017 in consecutive weeks, plus three games hit the 60+ blowout list. This season is well down on blowouts. It's good, yeah?
Lots of lovely big changes in rankings as per below. St Kilda up three spots is the highlight.
Crows are still the standout on top, Brisbane distant in 18th. Plenty of teams in a points bracket and lumped between 8th and 14th. Makes it hard to predict the end of season, and why handicapping the draw is not a good idea.
Hello Essendon, who are getting a bump up in the predictions because of the softness of their fixture. Well done AFL. *slow hand clap*
The Week Ahead
Three more close ones to drive your tipping choices around the twist. Good luck on those games!
|St Kilda||v||Essendon||Dock||St K||by||5||pts||54|
|Port Adelaide||v||North Melbourne||Adel||Port||by||37||pts||77|
|Carlton||v||W Bulldogs/FFC||MCG||W Bu||by||24||pts||32|
Also, someone remind me why Carlton (the Docklands tenant) is at 'home' at the MCG, while Richmond (the MCG tenant) is at 'home' at the Docklands.