Thursday, 28 March 2013

01 redux- The Sustain

We foresee a day when football is always like this... games played on the five days around a weekend (and sometimes every day of the week), the concept of a 'round of football' gone, replaced by 'Match Week...', and the return of Match Ratio to separate teams' standings*.

This is where we are at right now... a round of football over 11 days, and 5 separate days of the week involved. Get used to it, as it is what happens in other codes around the world.

Anyway, enough of the Orwellian dogma-style droning... Completing the 11 day stretch of games are the final 7 matches as below.

* You heard it here first folks... maybe.

Three close games this week, all under 7 point margins.
One game a 2 goal result and another by 3 goals.

Only the one blow-out predicted, the Sydney Shitfight... sorry the "Battle of the Bridge". Not that you could tell from the promotional poster/flyer.

The Mezzoculo Index* for past form and predicted future looks a little like this. The bigger bubbled teams (Hawks, Blues, Magpies and Tigers) all look set to start the year well.

* A teams position on the rungs above indicates how they have gone in the last 5 weeks... if a team is higher on the scale, its been on fire. If a team is at the bottom, they have cooled off and lacking form.
The size of the team marker indicates how we think they will run for the next 3 games... the bigger the marker, the more likely to win.

Nothing like a bit of opening round 'sustain' from the AFL... can you hear it? Can you?

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