Wednesday, 6 August 2014

Changes Over 2014

One thing we have not done much this year is analyse the data and identify much in the way of trends... the outside influences of life sometimes distract.

A simple analysis that is quick and easy to prepare is to examine how each team has tracked over the season. Lets check your teams rankings position and points movements.

Hawthorn and Fremantle the only teams to not have moved position in the rankings chart, but they have both lost a small amount of rankings points.
The Saints have lost the most points, down 27.6%, and also have lost 4 positions. Carlton also down 4 positions, and a 7.7% drop.
Richmond and Brisbane have both lost over 10% of their value (Bris 12.9% and Rich 10.6%).

Teams that have benefited most this season are Port Adelaide, up 6 positions and a big 15.9% rise in value Also up are Essendon and the Gold Coast, both up 3 positions and the Suns up 15.2% (from a lower base). Essendon up 7.4%.
Melbourne and the GWS have also risen dramatically, collecting over 200 points each, and rises of 39% and 69% respectively (again from lower bases)

Charting these movements gives the below sets of charts.
Click to Enlarge

Clearly seen in these charts are the following rises

  1. Port Adelaide have had a recent decline, but their massive increase from round 1 through to the bye is the greatest of any team this season.
  2. Essendon had a bright start before trailing off before their bye. After that, an indifferent period before gains in  the last few rounds.
  3. Sydney have been exceptional in the last 10 or so rounds as they lifted clear of season-opening rivals Collingwood and North Melbourne. The Swans are now 2nd just under leader Hawthorn
  4. The Gold Coast also has risen and again mostly post-bye, and the decline from round 17 coincides with loss of Gary Jnr in the team.
  5. From their respective low bases, the Giants and Demons are also building their ranking steadily over the season.

The charts also show where teams have gone backwards.

  1. St Kilda's 2014 decline is a continuation of their 2013 season where they went from under 1300 points down to just over 900. In 2014, they are now sub 700.
  2. We have Geelong declining by 110 points, and even though they currently sit 4th in our rankings and in the AFL top 4, the trend is a Kardina Park decline.
  3. Richmond have also suffered from thier early season 'vacation', dropping significantly. The brakes applied somewhat recently.
  4. A similar line at Carlton and Brisbane too, with improvement in the past 2 months for both teams.

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