Sunday, 23 September 2018

27. PENULTIMATE

Yes, the one before the last.


The Wash-Up.

Half right and half wrong.
And 20's all round.

PREDICTIONRESULTRANKING PT CHANGES
Richby15pts62Collby39ptsRich-21Coll21
Westby3pts53Westby66ptsWest20Melb-20


Adjusted rankings for the finals period
Even after Melbourne's loss, they still hold 2nd for the year.


AFTER SFptstable
1Richmond1365-160
2Melbourne1326221
3Geelong1302-11-1
4West Coast1280200
5Collingwood1251201
6GWS1240271
7Sydney/SMFC1210-25-2
8Essendon12021
9Hawthorn1191-12-1


And so basically we have a grand final between 4th and 5th.
Excitement plus has been the hallmark of 2018.


The Week Ahead.

Its the Grand Final and both teams have shown improvement over the year. And in the above ranking table, in an even year it all came down to September.
And the chart above suggest neither team has been exceptional in September, other than the last week.
Awesome.

So the tip for the Final is:

TIP FOR FINALS
- 2018 GRAND FINAL
HOME AWAYVENUEPREDICTION
West CoastvCollingwoodMCGWestby3pts52

Eagles by 3, which is a coin toss in reality.


Simulations

The season leads to a coin toss finish. Which is nice. Basically 50/50 here as above.

SEPTEMBER RUNS
TEAMEF / QF'sSEMI'sPRELIM'sG FINALPREMIER
1Richmond100100.0
2West Coast100100.0100.045.9
3Collingwood100100.0100.0100.054.1
4Hawthorn100100.0
5Melbourne100100.0100.0
6Sydney/SMFC100
7GWS100100.0
8Geelong100


Good luck to all involved.

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